Catastrophe through Chaos
A personal scenario analysis arguing AI catastrophe is more likely through messy race dynamics, institutional unpreparedness and coordination failure than through a single clear misalignment event.
Research / Sources
Alignment Forum
Discussion and research on AI alignment. alignmentforum.org
AI (574)Interpretability (ML & AI) (73)AI Control (51)AI Evaluations (31)Chain-of-Thought Alignment (27)AI-Assisted Alignment (16)AI Risk (13)AI Takeoff (13)AI Governance (12)AI Timelines (10)Sandbagging (AI) (10)Debate (AI safety technique) (7)AI Auditing (6)Alignment Pretraining (6)Dealmaking (AI) (6)AI Psychology (5)AI Alignment Fieldbuilding (4)AI Rights / Welfare (4)AI Risk Concrete Stories (4)AI Safety Cases (4)Aligned AI Proposals (4)Jailbreaking (AIs) (3)Open Source AI (3)Regulation and AI Risk (3)Threat Models (AI) (3)AI Alignment Intro Materials (2)AI Safety (2)AI Safety Camp (2)AI Safety Public Materials (2)AIXI (2)Grants & Fundraising Opportunities (2)Guaranteed Safe AI (2)OpenAI (2)Slowing Down AI (2)AI Benchmarking (1)AI Capabilities (1)AI Development Pause (1)AI Lab Self-Immolation (1)AI Success Models (1)Aligned AI Role-Model Fiction (1)Frontier AI Companies (1)Human-AI Safety (1)Neuromorphic AI (1)Power Seeking (AI) (1)Prosaic Alignment (1)Truthful AI (1)
Focus All
Topic Lab practice
Date Any time
What’s the short timeline plan?
Apollo Research staff argue AI labs should publish detailed short-timeline (2027) plans, proposing minimal requirements: secure model weights and monitoring of scheming AIs, with faithful chain-of-thought and monitoring as core defenses.