Machine Organizations
Speculates that AI could progressively take over organizations, from unintentional takeover to explicit handoff of control, and argues for halting capability escalation and building a regulatory framework.
AI research and discussion on LessWrong. www.lesswrong.com
Speculates that AI could progressively take over organizations, from unintentional takeover to explicit handoff of control, and argues for halting capability escalation and building a regulatory framework.
Uses equilibrium analysis to argue that commercially incentivised safety work has little counterfactual impact, that risk awareness drives government action, and that policy advocacy and ambitious safety work are more valuable.
A rebuttal defending the "Plan A" AI governance proposal against critiques of its economics, centralisation of power, political realism and conceptual assumptions about AI alignment.
Argues frontier AI developers and regulators should halt building systems whose catastrophic-risk probability exceeds a tiny threshold, critiquing Anthropic's scenario framework and leaders' public statements on AI risk.
Presents a systems dynamics model of AI governance feedback loops linking capability growth, public harm and regulation, examining how capabilities, safety research and political capture interact and how a pause might be stopped or sustained.
Applies Leveson's systems-safety thinking to AI loss of control, modelling how breaches at each oversight level can escalate into vicious cycles and how AI could also strengthen governance.
A literature review arguing AI risk is a normal science-style risk, that alignment is tractable, and that calls for a pause or ban are counterproductive.
Proposes eight conceptual pathways by which gradual disempowerment could become permanent even if AIs are shutdownable, covering principal choices, legal lock-in, value drift and coordination failure.
Analyses whether intent-aligned defensive AI can counter takeover-level adversarial AI, proposing threat models, a three-pillar defense framework, and legal constraints, and concludes the offense-defense balance remains uncertain.