Against Export Controls (and China Threat Models)
Argues against U.S. export controls on AI chips as a misalignment-reducing policy, contending they may speed U.S. recursive self-improvement and hinder a bilateral treaty with China.
AI research and discussion on LessWrong. www.lesswrong.com
Argues against U.S. export controls on AI chips as a misalignment-reducing policy, contending they may speed U.S. recursive self-improvement and hinder a bilateral treaty with China.
Formalises AI doom versus alignment deliverance as a competing-risks survival model driven by compute allocation and pacing, examining how response-function shapes change whether speed or split matters.
Carlsmith analyses when and how capability restraint for AI safety is feasible and desirable, covering game-theoretic framing, international regimes, and trade-offs such as power concentration and enabling safety research.
Summarises Yudkowsky's interview arguing humans will likely fail to align the first takeover-capable AGI, and proposes halting general AI via treaties and GPU monitoring, with the author discussing cognitive biases.