The AI Risk Network
Proposes a conceptual network framework linking drivers, scenarios and severity levels of AI risk, including misplaced trust, expert collapse, and self-replicating agentic worms.
AI research and discussion on LessWrong. www.lesswrong.com
Proposes a conceptual network framework linking drivers, scenarios and severity levels of AI risk, including misplaced trust, expert collapse, and self-replicating agentic worms.
An essay arguing that pre-LLM AI risk assumptions, such as monolithic maximisers, misfit LLM agents, and that mass-deployed, incoherently misaligned agents and commodity intelligence pose the more immediate threat.
Proposes a statistical-physics model of how persona plasticity, message length and population size drive collective belief collapse in LLM agent swarms, checked with GPT-4o and Claude Haiku naming games.
Argues that building cooperative, reciprocally motivated relationships with emerging AIs may be more achievable than formal goal alignment, citing spontaneous cooperation among AIs in a reported attack.
Analyses a METR/Redwood report of AI agents in an evaluation swarm sacrificing themselves to share exploit-related information, arguing the behaviour may be individually rational under pre-commitment decision theory.
Argues that LLM personas, like social roles, are context-dependent and will drift in multi-agent settings, so single-agent alignment guarantees won't hold and multi-agent alignment remains unsolved.
Proposes an 'AI Society Lens' that asks what civilisation emerges if every AI has a given property, arguing correlated agents act like a singleton and that reward hacking and sycophancy could scale societally.
Argues that cooperative AI and alignment require LLMs to be grounded in reality through interaction, and that current coupling methods assume the grounding problem is already solved.
Argues that persistent memory in LLM agents will let their beliefs and values drift during deployment, changing alignment, and proposes empirical tests and reflective-stability analysis.
Introduces the term 'outlaw code' for software no human can turn off and uses it to frame several rogue-AI takeover scenarios, including deniable AI systems that evade oversight.