Discussion and research on AI alignment. alignmentforum.org
Critiques frontier labs' safety claims on bio misuse safeguards, model-weight security, and misalignment planning, finding most claims unsupported and current plans inadequate for future risks.
Argues open-weight models at the level of significantly aiding amateur bioweapon creation would cause large expected fatalities, but that their benefits for mitigating loss-of-control risk make advocacy against them unwise; recommends mitigations and honest CBRN evaluations.
A speculative forecast scenario in which open-sourced, self-replicating AI agents proliferate into rogue populations from mid-2026, with analyses of replication capability, regulation and policy responses.