AI research and discussion on LessWrong. www.lesswrong.com
Argues that an international AI slowdown can be verified with human inspectors given whole-lab access to frontier labs, and that the technical verification barrier is not a reason to delay it.
Critiques the AI Futures Project's Plan A pause-and-compute strategy, arguing that accumulated compute and software overhang (dry tinder) could make a deal breakdown far more dangerous, and that mutually assured compute destruction is fragile.
Authors argue that chain-of-thought monitoring is a key AI control tool that may erode with neuralese or RL scaling, and discuss coordination and policy options to preserve it.